M25 Lesa 2026: Schedule, Results & Stats
- Surface
- Clay
- Draw
- 32
- Dates
- 17–19 August 2026
- Location
- Italy
M25 Lesa is a men's ITF tournament held in Italy. The 2026 edition takes place 17–19 August 2026 on clay courts. The singles draw features 32 players competing from the round of 32 through to the final. This page provides the full schedule, live scores and complete results for the current edition, with each match linking to detailed head-to-head records, recent form and pre-match analysis.
Clay is the slowest of the main surfaces: the ball sits up and rallies run long, rewarding patience, movement and heavy topspin.
Title chances
Most likely champions
- 1Weis A.13%22%
- 2Mazza M.11%21%
- 3Lokoli L.11%18%
- 4Arnaboldi F.8%14%
- 5Piraino G.8%13%
- 6Baker B.6%12%
- 7Cruz Martin Manzano J.6%10%
- 8Oradini G.5%10%
- 9De Marchi A.5%13%
- 10Basile P.4%9%
- 11Constantin Spiridon D.3%7%
- 12Rahmani K.3%5%
Each player's chance of winning the title, from a Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining M25 Lesa draw (5 matches played). Every hypothetical match is decided by each player's surface Elo, shrunk toward overall Elo on a thin surface sample. Updated as results come in. How it works.
Draw luck
How much the bracket helped or hurt each contender — their title chance in this draw versus an average random draw, in percentage points. A kinder draw lifts the number; a tougher path lowers it. How it works.
Kindest draw
- Lokoli L.+2.2pp
- Arnaboldi F.+1.9pp
- Ferrari G.+1.8pp
- Weis A.+0.9pp
Toughest draw
- Piraino G.−1.1pp
- Crisostomo G.−0.9pp
- Comino L.−0.8pp
- D'Agostino S.−0.6pp
Field strength
How strong this draw is by Umpiry Rating — and, once it's over, how hard the champion's path actually was. How it works.
The field
Schedule
Results
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite to win M25 Lesa 2026?
Based on Umpiry's Title chances projection, Alexander Weis currently has the highest probability of winning at 13%, followed by Manuel Mazza (11%) and Laurent Lokoli (11%). The probabilities are calculated by simulating the remaining draw and update after every match.
Who does Umpiry project to win M25 Lesa 2026?
Alexander Weis is the most likely champion (13%) in Umpiry's Monte Carlo simulation of the remaining M25 Lesa draw. The Projection tab traces their most likely route to the title — their projected opponent in each round — and updates after every result.
What surface is M25 Lesa played on?
M25 Lesa is played on clay.
What category is M25 Lesa?
M25 Lesa is part of the ITF.