Niccolo Catini vs Alexander WeisM25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
#901ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
#564ATP
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Catini N.
7-5 2-6 3-6
Weis A.
Catini N.
7231
Weis A.
5662

Alexander Weis defeated Niccolo Catini in the Round of 32 at the M25 Lesa tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-2, 6-3. Weis served one ace and did not commit a double fault, while Catini had no aces and four double faults. Weis converted 47% of his break points and broke Catini's serve seven times, compared to Catini's four service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 1R32clayNiccolo Catini7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
75%
64%
1st serve points won·Dominant
37%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
67%
58%
Service points won·Clear edge
44%
66%
Return points won·Clear edge
17%
37%
Break points saved·Dominant
50%
78%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.0
0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Catini N.17%
Weis A.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Weis A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
0.00 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Weis A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw