Maxime Janvier vs Daniele Rapagnetta

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32

FRA8

Maxime Janvier

#566ATP

1297ELO

1261Clay ELO

29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

LWLWLLLWLL

—

Sets

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 · 14:55

clay

ITA

Daniele Rapagnetta

#740ATP

19 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

LLLWWWWLLW

Janvier M.

Rapagnetta D.

Maxime Janvier faces Daniele Rapagnetta in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Maxime Janvier holds the paper edge — ranked #566. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC

Janvier M.55%

Rapagnetta D.45%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Surface form: Maxime Janvier 3 of 9, Daniele Rapagnetta 4 of 9 on clay recently — Daniele Rapagnetta the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Daniele Rapagnetta carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Janvier M.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Rapagnetta D.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.33 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.45 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

15 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season

Janvier M.Rapagnetta D.

1st serve in·Even

62%

63%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

72%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

47%

49%

Service points won·Even

62%

59%

Return points won·Slight edge

37%

43%

Break points saved·Even

61%

58%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.7

2.4

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.0

1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Janvier M.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Rapagnetta D.

Rapagnetta D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Janvier M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Janvier M.Rapagnetta D.

Freshness·

—

Rapagnetta D.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

31°CMainly clear

Wind 8 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Maxime Janvier vs Daniele Rapagnetta — M25 Lesa Round of 32