Gabriele Bosio vs Denis Constantin Spiridon — M25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
ITA
Gabriele Bosio
#680ATP
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLWW
—
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
ITAQ
Denis Constantin Spiridon
#1130ATP
24 yrs
Last 10
WLLLWWLWWL
Bosio G.
vs
Constantin Spiridon D.

Gabriele Bosio faces Denis Constantin Spiridon in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Gabriele Bosio holds the paper edge — ranked #680. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Bosio G.60%
Constantin Spiridon D.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bosio G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Denis Constantin Spiridon dropped just 4 games past Jacopo Antonelli.
  • Fatigue load: Gabriele Bosio carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bosio G.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Constantin Spiridon D.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.71 of last 6 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 6 matches

Statistics

This season
Bosio G.Constantin Spiridon D.
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
52%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bosio G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Constantin Spiridon D.

Constantin Spiridon D.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bosio G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw