Daniel Bagnolini vs G. BiondolilloM25 Lesa Q16

M25 Lesa · ITF · Q16
#1428ATP
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
G. Biondolillo
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWLW
Bagnolini D.
6-2 6-2
Biondolillo G.
Bagnolini D.
662
Biondolillo G.
220

Gregorio Biondolillo defeated Daniel Bagnolini 6-2, 6-2 in the qualifying round 16 of the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. Biondolillo hit 7 aces and 3 double faults, winning 67% of his first serves and converting 67% of break points. He broke Bagnolini's serve four times en route to the win.

Key context

  • Match story: G. Biondolillo closed it out in two sets, 2–6 2–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Bagnolini D.Biondolillo G.
1st serve in·
58%
1st serve points won·
61%
2nd serve points won·
57%
Service points won·
59%
Return points won·
30%
Break points saved·
55%
Aces / match·
1.5
Double faults / match·
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bagnolini D.73%
Biondolillo G.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bagnolini D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Biondolillo G.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 9 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw