Giovanni Oradini vs F. Bove — M25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32

ITA

Giovanni Oradini

#647ATP

28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Wednesday, 19 August 2026 · 12:10

clay

ITAQ

F. Bove

27 yrs

Last 10

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Oradini G.

Bove F.

Giovanni Oradini faces F. Bove in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Giovanni Oradini holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Oradini G.91%

Bove F.9%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Oradini G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Head-to-head: Giovanni Oradini leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8 2025.
Surface form: Giovanni Oradini 5 of 8, F. Bove 4 of 8 on clay recently — Giovanni Oradini the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: F. Bove carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Oradini G.

5.9

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Bove F.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

H2H

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

5.46 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

0.0

Win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season

Oradini G.Bove F.

1st serve in·Dominant

68%

38%

1st serve points won·Dominant

69%

11%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

52%

47%

Service points won·Dominant

64%

33%

Return points won·Slight edge

42%

31%

Break points saved·Clear edge

63%

50%

Aces / match·Dominant

5.6

0.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.5

0.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Oradini G.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bove F.

Bove F.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Oradini G.

Serve advantage — Oradini G.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

28°CPartly cloudy

Wind 5 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-09-25	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8	R16	clay	Giovanni Oradini	6-2 6-1