Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Laurent Lokoli — M25 Lesa Round of 32
M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
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Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
Costanzo Baragiola Mordini T.vs
Lokoli L.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini faces Laurent Lokoli in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Laurent Lokoli holds the paper edge — ranked #409.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCCostanzo Baragiola Mordini T.11%
Lokoli L.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Lokoli L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini dropped just 6 games past Gabriele Mellerio.
- Surface form: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 3 of 7, Laurent Lokoli 6 of 7 on clay recently — Laurent Lokoli the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.63 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
6 vs 25 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
32%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
47%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
12.0
3.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 42%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.