Kasra Rahmani vs Giacomo CrisostomoM25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
#791ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
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Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#1149ATP
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
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Rahmani K.
vs
Crisostomo G.

Kasra Rahmani faces Giacomo Crisostomo in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Kasra Rahmani is the paper favourite — ranked #791 — but Giacomo Crisostomo arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 8 on clay to Kasra Rahmani's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Rahmani K.50%
Crisostomo G.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.01 of last 5 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
52%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
85%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
46%
Service points won·Clear edge
67%
55%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rahmani K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Crisostomo G.

Crisostomo G.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Rahmani K.

Serve advantage — Rahmani K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw