Nicola Rispoli vs Gioele Cerelli — M25 Lesa Q16
M25 Lesa · ITF · Q16
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
ITAGioele Cerelli
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLLWLW
Rispoli N.6-4 6-4
Cerelli G.
Rispoli N.
662
Cerelli G.
440
Nicola Rispoli defeated Gioele Cerelli 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. Rispoli hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Cerelli hit 5 aces and 6 double faults. Rispoli converted 60% of his break points and won 3 service breaks to Cerelli's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Nicola Rispoli edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonRispoli N.Cerelli G.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
71%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTCRispoli N.65%
Cerelli G.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Rispoli N. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchCerelli G.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 38%