Alessandro Spadola vs Lorenzo Rottoli — M25 Lesa Round of 32
Spadola A.Alessandro Spadola faces Lorenzo Rottoli in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Lorenzo Rottoli holds the paper edge — ranked #899, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rottoli L. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Fatigue load: Alessandro Spadola carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Rottoli leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Fano 2026.
- Surface form: Both 1 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | M25 Fano | R32 | clay | Lorenzo Rottoli | 6-7(6) 6-4 7-5 |