L. Primucci vs Alessandro Spadola — M25 Lesa Q16
M25 Lesa · ITF · Q16
—
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
Primucci L.vs
Spadola A.
L. Primucci faces Alessandro Spadola in the M25 Lesa q16 on clay. L. Primucci holds the paper edge — ranked #1178.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCPrimucci L.43%
Spadola A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: L. Primucci dropped just 5 games past Giovanni Boi.
- Surface form: L. Primucci 4 of 5, Alessandro Spadola 1 of 5 on clay recently — L. Primucci the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Alessandro Spadola carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
1 vs 1 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
46%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Even
51%
50%
Return points won·Even
27%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
29%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
7.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonBaseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Conditions
Weather forecast
31°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 41%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.