Luca Parenti vs Blu BakerM25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
#1724ATP
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 ·
clay
#972ATP
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLWWW
Parenti L.
vs
Baker B.

Luca Parenti faces Blu Baker in the M25 Lesa round of 32 on clay. Blu Baker holds the paper edge — ranked #972.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Parenti L.31%
Baker B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Baker B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
67%
1st serve points won·
62%
2nd serve points won·
46%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
62%
Aces / match·
1.7
Double faults / match·
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw