Gianmarco Ferrari vs S. SeghettiM25 Lesa Round of 32

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 32
#465ATP
25 yrs · 191 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
clay
#1500ATP
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLWWWW
Ferrari G.
2-6 0-6
Seghetti S.
Ferrari G.
200
Seghetti S.
662

Samuele Seghetti defeated Gianmarco Ferrari 6-2, 6-0 in the Round of 32 at the M25 Lesa tournament on clay. Seghetti hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, winning 76% of first-serve points and converting 62% of break points. He broke Ferrari's serve 5 times en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
35%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Ferrari G.85%
Seghetti S.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ferrari G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Ferrari G.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw