Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul — Australian Open Round of 16
Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
ESP1#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
USA19#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Alcaraz C.7-6 6-4 7-5
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.
7673
Paul T.
6450
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-4 7-5 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.
Key context
- Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged Tommy Paul in three tight sets (7–6 6–4 7–5).
Head to head
5–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | QF | clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-0 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-07-29 | Paris Olympics | QF | clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Carlos Alcaraz | 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | R16 | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 7-6 6-7 6-3 |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | QF | hard | Tommy Paul | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | R16 | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | R32 | hard | Tommy Paul | 6-7 7-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
57%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
6.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
90
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
51
Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast