Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy PaulWimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 July 2024 ·
grass
#24ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
Alcaraz C.
5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.
56663
Paul T.
74221

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2 in the Wimbledon quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-7 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardTommy Paul6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-7 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
55%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.4
6.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (176 vs 145). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
51

Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw