Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy PaulMiami Masters Round of 16

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.
662
Paul T.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-7 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardTommy Paul6-3 4-6 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-7 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
6.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Paul T.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw