Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy PaulCincinnati Masters Round of 16

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
Alcaraz C.
7-6 6-7 6-3
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.
7662
Paul T.
6731

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 6-7 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardTommy Paul6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-7 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.3
6.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
90
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
100
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
64

Paul T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw