Tommy Paul vs Carlos AlcarazCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022 ·
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Paul T.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Alcaraz C.
Paul T.
6762
Alcaraz C.
7631

Tommy Paul defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-7 6-3
2023-08-07Canada MastersQFhardTommy Paul6-3 4-6 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.2
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
98
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Slight edge
88
98
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
51

Paul T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw