Tommy Paul vs Carlos AlcarazCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023 ·
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Paul T.
6-3 4-6 6-3
Alcaraz C.
Paul T.
6462
Alcaraz C.
3631

Tommy Paul defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-0 6-1 6-4
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsQFclayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2024-07-01WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-7 6-3
2023-03-20Miami MastersR16hardCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardTommy Paul6-7 7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
40%
42%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.3
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
90
98
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Slight edge
88
98
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Paul T.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw