Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys — Indian Wells Semi-final
Indian Wells · WTA · Semi-final
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025 ·
hard
USA5#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Sabalenka A.6-0 6-1
Keys M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Keys M.
010
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Madison Keys 6-0 6-1 in the Indian Wells semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka handed Madison Keys a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.
Head to head
5–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | F | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 2-6 7-5 |
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 0-6 7-6 7-6 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-06-14 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Madison Keys | 6-4 1-6 7-5 |
| 2018-08-13 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
64%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
3.7
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
85
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
59
66
Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast