Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison KeysWimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023 ·
grass
#24WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Sabalenka A.
6-2 6-4
Keys M.
Sabalenka A.
662
Keys M.
240

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Madison Keys 6-2 6-4 in the Wimbledon quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-3
2025-03-05Indian WellsSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-0 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenFhardMadison Keys6-3 2-6 7-5
2024-09-25BeijingR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenSFhardAryna Sabalenka0-6 7-6 7-6
2021-06-14BerlinR16grassMadison Keys6-4 1-6 7-5
2018-08-13CincinnatiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
85
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
59
66

Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw