Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys — US Open Semi-final
US Open · WTA · Semi-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 28 August 2023 ·
hard
USA#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Sabalenka A.0-6 7-6 7-6
Keys M.
Sabalenka A.
0772
Keys M.
6661
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Madison Keys 0-6 7-6 7-6 in the US Open semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–2.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka recovered from a 0–6 opening set to beat Madison Keys.
Head to head
5–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 6-1 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | F | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 2-6 7-5 |
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-06-14 | Berlin | R16 | grass | Madison Keys | 6-4 1-6 7-5 |
| 2018-08-13 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 170). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
85
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Even
97
94
Tiebreaks·Even
100
96
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
59
66
Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast