Madison Keys vs Aryna Sabalenka — Berlin Round of 16
Berlin · WTA · Round of 16
USA#24WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 June 2021 ·
grass
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
1987Grass ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Keys M.6-4 1-6 7-5
Sabalenka A.
Keys M.
6172
Sabalenka A.
4651
Madison Keys defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 1-6 7-5 in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.
Key context
- Match story: Madison Keys closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 7–5.
Head to head
1–6| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-0 6-1 |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | F | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 2-6 7-5 |
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 0-6 7-6 7-6 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2018-08-13 | Cincinnati | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
90
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
93
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Even
94
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
74
66
Keys M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast