Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka — Madrid Round of 16
Madrid · WTA · Round of 16
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 21 April 2026 ·
clay
JPN14#13WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Sabalenka A.6-7 6-3 6-2
Osaka N.
Sabalenka A.
6662
Osaka N.
7321
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Naomi Osaka 6-7 6-3 6-2 in the Madrid round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending the title. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka dropped the opening set before beating Naomi Osaka 6–7 6–3 6–2.
Head to head
2–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Naomi Osaka | 2-6 6-7 |
| 2026-06-01 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2018-08-27 | US Open | R16 | hard | Naomi Osaka | 6-3 2-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
100
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
85
Break points won·Even
99
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
86
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
65
91
Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast