Naomi Osaka vs Aryna Sabalenka — US Open Round of 16
US Open · WTA · Round of 16
JPN20#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 August 2018 ·
hard
BLR26#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Osaka N.6-3 2-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Osaka N.
6262
Sabalenka A.
3641
Naomi Osaka defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Naomi Osaka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Naomi Osaka closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–4.
Head to head
1–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | R16 | grass | Naomi Osaka | 2-6 6-7 |
| 2026-06-01 | Roland Garros | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-7 6-3 6-2 |
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells | R16 | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
93
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
93
Break points won·Even
98
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
90
59
Osaka N.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sabalenka A.: played today · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast