Andrey Rublev vs Matteo ArnaldiAustralian Open Round of 128

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 128
#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Rublev A.
6-4 6-2 6-3
Arnaldi M.
Rublev A.
6663
Arnaldi M.
4230

Andrey Rublev defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2 6-3 in the Australian Open round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #18, defending last year's round of 128. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–2 6–3.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-5
2024-08-05Canada MastersSFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayMatteo Arnaldi7-6 6-2 6-4
2023-10-23ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.1
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
54
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Dominant
65
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
58
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
85

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw