Andrey Rublev vs Matteo ArnaldiCanada Masters Semi-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 August 2024 ·
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
Rublev A.
6-4 6-2
Arnaldi M.
Rublev A.
662
Arnaldi M.
420

Andrey Rublev defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-2 in the Canada Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #18, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-5
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayMatteo Arnaldi7-6 6-2 6-4
2023-10-23ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.1
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
83
54
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Dominant
65
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
58
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
85

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw