Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey RublevRoland Garros Round of 32

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 32
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024 ·
clay
#18ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Arnaldi M.
7-6 6-2 6-4
Rublev A.
Arnaldi M.
7663
Rublev A.
6240

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 6-2 6-4 in the Roland Garros round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #18, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Matteo Arnaldi narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–2 6–4.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-5
2024-08-05Canada MastersSFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2
2023-10-23ViennaR16hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
8.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
83
Break points saved·Even
95
98
Break points won·Dominant
22
65
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
85

Arnaldi M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw