Karolina Muchova vs Naomi OsakaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2024 ·
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Muchova K.
6-3 7-6
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
672
Osaka N.
360

Karolina Muchova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-3 7-6 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #7, defending last year's semi-final. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-07WimbledonQFgrassKarolina Muchova6-7 4-6
2026-06-27Bad HomburgFgrassKarolina Muchova6-1 1-0
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 7-6(3)
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka1-6 6-1 6-3
2021-04-29MadridR32clayKarolina Muchova6-4 3-6 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR32hardNaomi Osaka6-7 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 122). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
92
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
85
Break points won·Slight edge
88
98
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Osaka N.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw