Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova — Cincinnati Round of 32
Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
JPN4#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 August 2020 ·
hard
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Osaka N.6-7 6-4 6-2
Muchova K.
Osaka N.
6662
Muchova K.
7421
Naomi Osaka defeated Karolina Muchova 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Naomi Osaka narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.
Key context
- Match story: Naomi Osaka dropped the opening set before beating Karolina Muchova 6–7 6–4 6–2.
Head to head
2–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | QF | grass | Karolina Muchova | 6-7 4-6 |
| 2026-06-27 | Bad Homburg | F | grass | Karolina Muchova | 6-1 1-0 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | QF | hard | Naomi Osaka | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Naomi Osaka | 1-6 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R64 | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R32 | clay | Karolina Muchova | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
93
92
Break points saved·Slight edge
85
91
Break points won·Slight edge
98
88
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
99
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
90
—
Osaka N.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast