Kasra Rahmani vs Alexander Weis — M25 Lesa Round of 16

M25 Lesa · ITF · Round of 16

IRI

Kasra Rahmani

#791ATP

19 yrs

Last 10

WLLWLLLWLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 20 August 2026 · 09:00

clay

ITA7

Alexander Weis

#564ATP

29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWLWWWLW

Rahmani K.

Weis A.

Kasra Rahmani faces Alexander Weis in the M25 Lesa round of 16 on clay. Alexander Weis holds the paper edge — ranked #564.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC

Rahmani K.26%

Weis A.74%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Weis A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Alexander Weis dropped the opening set before beating Niccolo Catini 5–7 6–2 6–3.
Surface form: Kasra Rahmani 2 of 8, Alexander Weis 6 of 8 on clay recently — Alexander Weis the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Alexander Weis carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Rahmani K.

4.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Weis A.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.01 of last 5 on clay

Surface form

5.25 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season

Rahmani K.Weis A.

1st serve in·Slight edge

58%

64%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

85%

70%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

43%

58%

Service points won·Even

67%

66%

Return points won·Even

37%

Break points saved·Dominant

50%

78%

Aces / match·Clear edge

4.3

2.7

Double faults / match·Slight edge

1.0

0.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Rahmani K.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Weis A.

Weis A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rahmani K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Freshness

Recent load

Rahmani K.Weis A.

Freshness·

—

Weis A.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

23°CShowers

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.