Alex De Minaur vs Tommy Paul — Hamburg Semi-final
Hamburg · ATP · Semi-final
#8ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 22 May 2026 ·
clay
USA#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
De Minaur A.6-2 3-6 3-6
Paul T.
De Minaur A.
6331
Paul T.
2662
Tommy Paul defeated Alex De Minaur 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Hamburg semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.
Key context
- Match story: Tommy Paul dropped the opening set before beating Alex De Minaur 2–6 6–3 6–3.
Head to head
5–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | R16 | clay | Tommy Paul | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-07-31 | Los Cabos | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | F | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | QF | grass | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
56%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
94
90
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
97
88
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
90
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
72
46
De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Paul T.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 120 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast