Tommy Paul vs Alex De Minaur — Rome Masters Round of 16
Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
USA11#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025 ·
clay
AUS7#8ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Paul T.7-5 6-3
De Minaur A.
Paul T.
762
De Minaur A.
530
Tommy Paul defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16. Tommy Paul narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.
Key context
- Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.
Head to head
1–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Hamburg | SF | clay | Tommy Paul | 6-2 3-6 3-6 |
| 2023-07-31 | Los Cabos | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-02-27 | Acapulco | F | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-06-20 | Eastbourne | QF | grass | Alex De Minaur | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6 6-4 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (79 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Even
90
94
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Slight edge
88
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Slight edge
64
72
Paul T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast