Alex De Minaur vs Tommy PaulAcapulco Final

Acapulco · ATP · Final
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023 ·
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLL
De Minaur A.
3-6 6-4 6-1
Paul T.
De Minaur A.
3662
Paul T.
6411

Alex De Minaur defeated Tommy Paul 3-6 6-4 6-1 in the Acapulco final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-22HamburgSFclayTommy Paul6-2 3-6 3-6
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayTommy Paul7-5 6-3
2023-07-31Los CabosQFhardAlex De Minaur6-4 3-6 6-3
2022-06-20EastbourneQFgrassAlex De Minaur6-2 4-6 6-4
2022-05-09Rome MastersR32clayAlex De Minaur7-5 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-6 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
6.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
94
90
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
97
88
Deciding sets·Even
95
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
78

De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Paul T.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw