Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev — Doha Semi-final

Doha · ATP · Semi-final
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026 ·
hard
Andrey Rublev
RUS5
Andrey Rublev
#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Alcaraz C.
7-6 6-4
Rublev A.
Alcaraz C.
762
Rublev A.
640

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 6-4 in the Doha semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 4-6 7-5
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassCarlos Alcaraz6-7 6-3 6-4 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2024-04-22Madrid MastersQFclayAndrey Rublev4-6 6-3 6-2
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Alcaraz C.Rublev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Even
67%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Alcaraz C.Rublev A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
83
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
98
65
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Alcaraz C.Rublev A.
Freshness·
—
86

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast

Draw