Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey RublevWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025 ·
grass
#18ATP
1902ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Alcaraz C.
6-7 6-3 6-4 6-4
Rublev A.
Alcaraz C.
66663
Rublev A.
73441

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Andrey Rublev 6-7 6-3 6-4 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16DohaSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 4-6 7-5
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2024-04-22Madrid MastersQFclayAndrey Rublev4-6 6-3 6-2
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
7.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
83
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
98
65
Deciding sets·Even
100
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw