Andrey Rublev vs Carlos AlcarazMadrid Masters Quarter-final

Madrid Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#18ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 April 2024 ·
clay
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Rublev A.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Alcaraz C.
Rublev A.
4662
Alcaraz C.
6321

Andrey Rublev defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Madrid Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending the title, but Andrey Rublev had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 6 on clay. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

05
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16DohaSFhardCarlos Alcaraz7-6 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 4-6 7-5
2025-06-30WimbledonR16grassCarlos Alcaraz6-7 6-3 6-4 6-4
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz7-5 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.1
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (164 vs 176). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
98
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
65
98
Deciding sets·Even
96
100
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Rublev A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw