Jessica Pegula vs Madison KeysAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · WTA · Round of 16
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Pegula J.
6-3 6-4
Keys M.
Pegula J.
662
Keys M.
340

Jessica Pegula defeated Madison Keys 6-3 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, defending last year's round of 32. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula
2025-01-06AdelaideFhardMadison Keys6-3 4-6 6-1
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardMadison Keys6-1 6-3
2022-10-10San DiegoQFhardJessica Pegula6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
65%
Aces / match·Even
4.4
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
89
Break points saved·Even
86
85
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
64
66

Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw