Madison Keys vs Jessica Pegula — US Open Round of 16

US Open · WTA · Round of 16
Madison Keys
USA
Madison Keys
#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 August 2023 ·
hard
Jessica Pegula
USA
Jessica Pegula
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Keys M.
6-1 6-3
Pegula J.
Keys M.
662
Pegula J.
130

Madison Keys defeated Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-3 in the US Open round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula–
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4
2025-01-06AdelaideFhardMadison Keys6-3 4-6 6-1
2022-10-10San DiegoQFhardJessica Pegula6-4 7-5
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Keys M.Pegula J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Keys M.Pegula J.
Clutch Rating·Even
90
93
Break points saved·Even
85
86
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Keys M.Pegula J.
Freshness·Even
74
78

Keys M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw