Madison Keys vs Jessica PegulaAdelaide Final

Adelaide · WTA · Final
#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Keys M.
6-3 4-6 6-1
Pegula J.
Keys M.
6462
Pegula J.
3611

Madison Keys defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 4-6 6-1 in the Adelaide final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's semi-final. Madison Keys narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-19BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-4
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardMadison Keys6-1 6-3
2022-10-10San DiegoQFhardJessica Pegula6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (81 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
93
Break points saved·Even
85
86
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
64

Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Pegula J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw