Alex De Minaur vs Alexander BublikAustralian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 January 2026 ·
hard
#13ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-1 6-1
Bublik A.
De Minaur A.
6663
Bublik A.
4110

Alex De Minaur defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-1 6-1 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersQFhardAlexander Bublik6-7 6-4 7-5
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR64clayAlexander Bublik2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-5 6-0
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayAlex De Minaur7-6 6-2
2021-01-05AntalyaFgrassAlex De Minaur2-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Even
69%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
11.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
81
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
97
54
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw