Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur — Paris Masters Quarter-final
Paris Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
KAZ13#13ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025 ·
hard
AUS6#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Bublik A.6-7 6-4 7-5
De Minaur A.
Bublik A.
6672
De Minaur A.
7451
Alexander Bublik defeated Alex De Minaur 6-7 6-4 7-5 in the Paris Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
Key context
- Match story: Alexander Bublik dropped the opening set before beating Alex De Minaur 6–7 6–4 7–5.
Head to head
1–4| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | R16 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R64 | clay | Alexander Bublik | 2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | R32 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2021-04-19 | Barcelona | R32 | clay | Alex De Minaur | 7-6 6-2 |
| 2021-01-05 | Antalya | F | grass | Alex De Minaur | 2-0 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
54
97
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
72
De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast