Alexander Bublik vs Alex De MinaurRoland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 64
#13ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025 ·
clay
#8ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWW
Bublik A.
2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2
De Minaur A.
Bublik A.
226663
De Minaur A.
664322

Alexander Bublik defeated Alex De Minaur 2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-1 6-1
2025-10-27Paris MastersQFhardAlexander Bublik6-7 6-4 7-5
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-5 6-0
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayAlex De Minaur7-6 6-2
2021-01-05AntalyaFgrassAlex De Minaur2-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
41%
Break points saved·Even
68%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.5
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
94
Break points saved·Even
98
98
Break points won·Dominant
54
97
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
72

De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw