Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova — Brisbane Semi-final
Brisbane · WTA · Semi-final
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026 ·
hard
CZE11#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Sabalenka A.6-3 6-4
Muchova K.
Sabalenka A.
662
Muchova K.
340
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Karolina Muchova 6-3 6-4 in the Brisbane semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
1–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | QF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 7-6 2-6 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | SF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-7 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | SF | clay | Karolina Muchova | 7-6 6-7 7-5 |
| 2019-10-22 | Zhuhai | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.5
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
100
92
Break points saved·Even
93
91
Break points won·Slight edge
99
88
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
66
—
Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast