Karolina Muchova vs Aryna Sabalenka — Beijing Quarter-final
Beijing · WTA · Quarter-final
#7WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024 ·
hard
BLR1#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Muchova K.7-6 2-6 6-4
Sabalenka A.
Muchova K.
7262
Sabalenka A.
6641
Karolina Muchova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 2-6 6-4 in the Beijing quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's quarter-final. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
Key context
- Match story: Karolina Muchova closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–4.
Head to head
2–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | SF | hard | Karolina Muchova | 6-7 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | SF | clay | Karolina Muchova | 7-6 6-7 7-5 |
| 2019-10-22 | Zhuhai | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-6 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (116 vs 191). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
92
100
Break points saved·Even
91
93
Break points won·Slight edge
88
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
65
Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 76 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast