Karolina Muchova vs Aryna SabalenkaRoland Garros Semi-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Semi-final
#7WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 May 2023 ·
clay
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
Muchova K.
7-6 6-7 7-5
Sabalenka A.
Muchova K.
7672
Sabalenka A.
6751

Karolina Muchova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 7-6 6-7 7-5 in the Roland Garros semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 32. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2024-09-25BeijingQFhardKarolina Muchova7-6 2-6 6-4
2023-08-14CincinnatiSFhardKarolina Muchova6-7 6-3 6-2
2019-10-22ZhuhaiSFhardAryna Sabalenka7-5 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (169 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
100
Break points saved·Even
91
93
Break points won·Slight edge
88
99
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw