Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De Minaur — Tour Finals Round Robin
Tour Finals · ATP · Round Robin
ITA9#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 9 November 2025 ·
hard
AUS7#8ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Musetti L.7-5 3-6 7-5
De Minaur A.
Musetti L.
7372
De Minaur A.
5651
Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alex De Minaur 7-5 3-6 7-5 in the Tour Finals round robin on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, defending last year's round-robin, but Lorenzo Musetti had been the form player, winning 6 of their last 8 on hard. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–1.
Key context
- Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 7–5 3–6 7–5.
Head to head
3–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | R16 | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | SF | clay | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | R32 | grass | Lorenzo Musetti | 1-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.6
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
81
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
70
66
Musetti L.: played today · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast