Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De MinaurMadrid Masters Round of 16

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 23 April 2025 ·
clay
#8ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Musetti L.
6-4 6-2
De Minaur A.
Musetti L.
662
De Minaur A.
420

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alex De Minaur 6-4 6-2 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, defending last year's round of 64. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardLorenzo Musetti7-5 3-6 7-5
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersSFclayLorenzo Musetti1-6 6-4 7-6
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassLorenzo Musetti1-6 6-4 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardAlex De Minaur3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
81
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
72

Musetti L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw