Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex De MinaurMonte Carlo Masters Semi-final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025 ·
clay
#8ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Musetti L.
1-6 6-4 7-6
De Minaur A.
Musetti L.
1672
De Minaur A.
6461

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Alex De Minaur 1-6 6-4 7-6 in the Monte Carlo Masters semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #8, defending last year's quarter-final. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardLorenzo Musetti7-5 3-6 7-5
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-4 6-2
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassLorenzo Musetti1-6 6-4 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardAlex De Minaur3-6 6-3 6-0 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 117). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
94
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Clear edge
81
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
66
76

Musetti L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 79 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw