Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine PaoliniRiyadh Finals Round Robin

Riyadh Finals · WTA · Round Robin
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 1 November 2025 ·
hard
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-1
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.
662
Paolini J.
310

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-1 in the Riyadh Finals round robin on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's semi-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartSFclayAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-4
2025-03-18MiamiSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-2
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2023-10-02BeijingR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 7-6
2022-03-07Indian WellsR64hardJasmine Paolini2-6 6-3 6-3
2020-11-09LinzR32hardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
100
77
Break points saved·Dominant
93
46
Break points won·Even
99
96
Deciding sets·Even
97
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Sabalenka A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw